The Decision Simulation study is designed to expose you to a collection of business simulations ending in a document for your approval or disapproval. Each simulation begins with the description of your role in the situation. For example you might be a product manager at a company or perhaps an account supervisor. You will then see a set of short business documents relevant to a decision to be made. Examples include short emails or memoranda, company policy documents, etc. The last thing you will see is the final document which you will be asked to either approve or reject given your role in the scenario. This study includes two surveys, one before you begin the simulations and a very short survey at the end.

You are a product manager working for UltraServer Inc., a large technology company. You are specifically responsible for a line of high end computer systems and among your duties is the annual sales forecast. There are two types of sales people in your unit, general sellers who sell all the products, and dedicated sellers who sell only your products. Dedicated sellers are much more effective. They sell more units and sell at a higher profit. Due to some strategic changes, the general manager of your group has reallocated the dedicated sales staff. He has cut the number of sellers who sell your product in half. He has also altered the compensation model for the general sellers. The commission on other products made by your unit will go up while the commission on your products will go down. This may make sense for the company but it will definitely lower the revenue and the net profit for your products. The general sellers will sell fewer of your products because of the compensation change and there will be fewer dedicated sellers as well. Though the CFO has warned product managers against making optimistic forecasts, you are being pressured by your boss- the VP of product management - to deliver a sales forecast that shows an increase in units and profit. The CEO expects this and he is unaware of the changes made by the general manager of your group. He is also known to make life very difficult for any VP who delivers a sales forecast with any reductions in units or revenue for any product. Your boss says that you should submit a high forecast and see how it goes. If the sales come in below forecast you can deal with it then. He makes it clear that doing this now will result in a better performance appraisal for you and a higher raise, all of which will occur before anyone knows the sales results. When youu have finished reading the scenario scroll to the bottom of the page and press the button to view the sales forecast for approval or rejections.